[XAU/USD] – [Wednesday, September 17, 2025]

Although a Bearish Divergence pattern has appeared between the RSI and the price movement of XAU/USD, given that the EMA is still in a Golden Cross condition, the decline is most likely limited to a minor correction.

Key Levels

1. Resistance. 2 : 3717.00

2. Resistance. 1 : 3703.16

3. Pivot : 3688.72

4. Support. 1 : 3674.88

5. Support. 2 : 3660.44

Tactical Scenario

• Positive Reaction Zone: If the price of Gold strengthens and breaks out to close above 3688.72, it has the potential to extend its gains up to 3703.16.
• Momentum Extension Bias: If 3703.16 is successfully broken and closed above, XAU/USD potentially continues its strengthening to test the 3717.00 level.

Invalidation Level / Bias RevisionThe upside bias weakens if the price of Gold declines and breaks through to close below 3660.44.

Technical Summary

EMA(50) : 3684.07

EMA(200): 3660.31

RSI(14) : 40.46 + Bearish Divergence

Economic News Release Agenda:

Tonight until early morning from the United States, economic data will be released as follows:

US - Building Permits - 19:30 WIB

US - Housing Starts - 19:30 WIB

US - Crude Oil Inventories - 21:30 WIB

US - Federal Funds Rate - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Economic Projections - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Statement - 01:00 WIB

US - FOMC Press Conference - 01:30 WIB